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AXIOS (Neil Irwin) - Inflation measurement tweaks make for sunnier data

Changes to the methodology underneath the Federal Reserve's go-to inflation measure are on track to make the numbers look a couple of ticks better later this year. Why it matters: The changes are entirely defensible on technical grounds and should make the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index better able to mirror overall price dynamics over time. - But coming at a fraught moment — when the independence of statistical agencies has been attacked and the Fed has overshot its inflation target for half a decade — the optics aren't great. State of play: The Bureau of Economic Analysis, which calculates the PCE inflation measure, announced late last month the methodological changes to how price changes are calculated in three…

AXIOS (Courtenay Brown) - Americans are spending faster than their income is growing

Data: Bureau of Economic Analysis ; Chart: Axios Visuals Americans are burning through their financial cushion at an accelerating pace, spending faster than their income is growing, as the energy shock from the Iran war slams household budgets. Why it matters: Consumer spending has indeed held up, defying rock-bottom sentiment readings. But there's new evidence that suggests households are increasingly drawing down savings to support their spending, a fragile dynamic for the broader economy. What they're saying: "While prices are rising faster than comfortable, incomes are not, putting consumers in an uncomfortable spot," NerdWallet senior economist Elizabeth Renter wrote. - "Rising prices, sluggish income and economic uncertainty could…