CNN’s Chief Data Analyst Harry Enten combed through thousands of polls and ran the odds to figure out what the most—and least—likely outcomes are for the 2026 midterm election to answer a crucial questions: Who will control the power of the purse come November? 0:00 Harry figures out the most likely scenarios are for Washington control after the midterms 0:28 What’s the LEAST likely scenario? 2:45 What is an unlikely, but possible scenario? Let’s look at the math. 5:34 What is the second most likely scenario for the House and the Senate? 8:22 Harry delivers breaking news — a poll hot off the presses 9:51 What is the MOST likely expected outcome from the midterm elections, at over 50% likelihood? 13:31 How will Donald Trump’s…
Artificial intelligence isn't just speeding up early-stage drug development, it's starting to unlock millions of dollars' worth of new efficiencies in clinical trials on cancer treatments, research shared first with Axios shows. Why it matters: AI-powered tools could shave months off time-consuming processes like recruiting and enrolling patients, monitoring results and interpreting data. - That could free up resources for more clinical studies and possibly lower the high failure rate for new drugs. What they found: A new Tufts Center for the Study of Drug Development analysis found AI agents can accelerate clinical development of cancer drugs by approximately 10 weeks and reduce direct operating costs by as much as $5.6 million in…
Artificial intelligence isn't just speeding up early-stage drug development, it's starting to unlock millions of dollars' worth of new efficiencies in clinical trials on cancer treatments, research shared first with Axios shows. Why it matters: AI-powered tools could shave months off time-consuming processes like recruiting and enrolling patients, monitoring results and interpreting data. - That could free up resources for more clinical studies and possibly lower the high failure rate for new drugs. What they found: A new Tufts Center for the Study of Drug Development analysis found AI agents can accelerate clinical development of cancer drugs by approximately 10 weeks and reduce direct operating costs by as much as $5.6 million in…Open
When Mike Allen and I are curious about the "real economy ," we talk to sources at big-box stores for a read on real-time sales trends, or friends at super-regional banks to gauge the mood and money movement. - To us, that's the real world and real data, imperfect but less imperfect than dated Bureau of Labor Statistics surveys built for a different time and economy. Why it matters: Fed Chair Kevin Warsh will get scrutinized like hell for rate changes, his communication style, his vow of a "new chapter" at the Fed, and his relationship with President Trump. - We think the most interesting thing to watch long-term is the seemingly boring data task force he appointed last month to improve the "quality and timeliness of real economic…
When Mike Allen and I are curious about the "real economy ," we talk to sources at big-box stores for a read on real-time sales trends, or friends at super-regional banks to gauge the mood and money movement. - To us, that's the real world and real data, imperfect but less imperfect than dated Bureau of Labor Statistics surveys built for a different time and economy. Why it matters: Fed Chair Kevin Warsh will get scrutinized like hell for rate changes, his communication style, his vow of a "new chapter" at the Fed, and his relationship with President Trump. - We think the most interesting thing to watch long-term is the seemingly boring data task force he appointed last month to improve the "quality and timeliness of real economic…Open
Federal Reserve chairman Kevin Warsh is attempting a high-wire act: He's trying to fundamentally rethink the central bank's approach to guiding the economy, while also using its standard policy toolkit to bring down stubbornly persistent inflation. - A market blowup late last month showed the perils of trying both at the same time. The big picture: Markets sold off and the economic commentariat was sharply critical of a Warsh press conference on July 29, in which he was vague about the possibility of raising interest rates to combat inflation. - Some analysts saw it as evidence of a lack of commitment to quashing inflation. To Warsh allies, it was a brief bump in the road toward a more credible Fed. - Warsh is trying to rewire the…
Federal Reserve chairman Kevin Warsh is attempting a high-wire act: He's trying to fundamentally rethink the central bank's approach to guiding the economy, while also using its standard policy toolkit to bring down stubbornly persistent inflation. - A market blowup late last month showed the perils of trying both at the same time. The big picture: Markets sold off and the economic commentariat was sharply critical of a Warsh press conference on July 29, in which he was vague about the possibility of raising interest rates to combat inflation. - Some analysts saw it as evidence of a lack of commitment to quashing inflation. To Warsh allies, it was a brief bump in the road toward a more credible Fed. - Warsh is trying to rewire the…Open
Knowledge workers now make up roughly one-fifth of OpenAI's Codex users and are growing more than three times as fast as developers, according to a new OpenAI report shared first with Axios. Why it matters: AI has made it easier to crank out documents, emails, decks and dashboards, and OpenAI is now betting agents can help workers make sense of them. The big picture: Previous waves of workplace software encouraged workers to produce huge volumes of files and messages, but those "workplace artifacts" largely remain siloed inside different software programs. - The report argues that Codex can round up the important context from all of those artifacts no matter where they are. By the numbers: Codex now has more than 4 million weekly active…
Knowledge workers now make up roughly one-fifth of OpenAI's Codex users and are growing more than three times as fast as developers, according to a new OpenAI report shared first with Axios. Why it matters: AI has made it easier to crank out documents, emails, decks and dashboards, and OpenAI is now betting agents can help workers make sense of them. The big picture: Previous waves of workplace software encouraged workers to produce huge volumes of files and messages, but those "workplace artifacts" largely remain siloed inside different software programs. - The report argues that Codex can round up the important context from all of those artifacts no matter where they are. By the numbers: Codex now has more than 4 million weekly active…Open
Experts use artificial intelligence to analyze data, plus thousands of crowdsourced photos, to forecast the prized flowers, which are a multibillion-dollar attraction.
Most people making March Madness brackets will be getting help from AI — and 37% will solely rely on it — according to a Hard Rock Bet survey . Why it matters: AI can be a helpful tool for bracket-building, but only if used thoughtfully. What they're saying: "AI isn't designed to predict random events," Sheldon H. Jacobson, a professor of computer science at the University of Illinois, tells Axios. "It's designed to look for patterns." - So avoid relying on AI to tell you who will win each game — the robot's guess is as good as yours. - Instead, Jacobson recommends prompting AI to analyze multiple simulated brackets and track patterns. Zoom out: There are plenty of ways to have AI assist with bracket selection. - For example, fans…
Most people making March Madness brackets will be getting help from AI — and 37% will solely rely on it — according to a Hard Rock Bet survey . Why it matters: AI can be a helpful tool for bracket-building, but only if used thoughtfully. What they're saying: "AI isn't designed to predict random events," Sheldon H. Jacobson, a professor of computer science at the University of Illinois, tells Axios. "It's designed to look for patterns." - So avoid relying on AI to tell you who will win each game — the robot's guess is as good as yours. - Instead, Jacobson recommends prompting AI to analyze multiple simulated brackets and track patterns. Zoom out: There are plenty of ways to have AI assist with bracket selection. - For example, fans…Open
As prediction markets boom, competition is heating up. So traders go the extra mile for a fraction-of-a-second advantage or to sleuth out information nobody else has. It can lead to a huge payday.
As prediction markets boom, competition is heating up. So traders go the extra mile for a fraction-of-a-second advantage or to sleuth out information nobody else has. It can lead to a huge payday.Open
