Values show the Democratic gain needed in every district to reach 218 seats. Alabama's attempted redistricting remains on appeal. Data: Axios analysis of data from The Downballot, MIT Election Lab and Dave's Redistricting App ; Chart: Andrew Pantazi/Axios Republican-led states have redrawn enough congressional districts to force Democrats to outperform their 2024 national results by nearly 5 percentage points if they want to retake the majority in the 2026 midterms. Why it matters: Control of the House will shape whether President Trump will be allowed to govern largely unchecked during his final two years, or left facing a chamber armed with subpoenas and oversight . - Democrats need to flip three seats to win the House, assuming…
The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee sparked a rare and heated bout of public infighting between House Democrats on Monday by endorsing multiple candidates who are still locked in contested primaries. Why it matters: The blowup is dredging up an intense, long-standing debate about whether Democratic leadership is acting un-democratically to boost the candidates they view as more electable. - "Voters, not the DCCC, should pick Democratic nominees," leaders of the Congressional Progressive Caucus PAC said in a statement first reported by Axios. - Rep. Linda Sánchez (D-Calif.), chair of the Congressional Hispanic Caucus' BOLD PAC, fumed about several Latino candidates being passed over for endorsements, saying: "Latino voters…
After Menefee is sworn in, Democrats will have 214 House seats. Republicans currently hold 218, giving House Speaker Mike Johnson a razor-thin majority.
House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-N.Y.) voiced stern opposition Friday to a Republican-led effort to expel Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick (D-Fla.) from Congress over allegations of financial misconduct. Why it matters: Expulsion requires a two-thirds majority to pass, meaning it would need substantial Democratic support even if all Republicans vote for it. Jeffries' opposition likely forecloses that possibility. - "If, in fact, there is a resolution that's brought to the floor to try to expel the congresswoman, it's going to fail," Jeffries said at a Friday press conference, pointing to the two-thirds threshold. - A spokesperson for Rep. Greg Steube (R-Fla.), who is leading the effort, did not immediately respond to a request…