Everyone wants to know who will win an election, but polls do more than predicting outcomes. The polling reporter Ruth Igielnik shares how polls are also judged on their ability to reveal electorate dynamics.
A moderate won the closely fought Democratic primary for governor in Wisconsin, the latest contest between the party’s progressive and moderate wings.
The author of the Democratic National Committee's 2024 election "autopsy" confirmed an Axios report that he concluded the war in Gaza hurt Kamala Harris politically — and that he'd privately shared that assessment with a pro-Palestinian group. - He said he drafted that finding late last year but never submitted it to party leadership. Why it matters: Democrats have spent months debating whether the Biden administration's support for Israel during its war on Hamas contributed to Harris' defeat. - Moderates disputed its electoral significance, while progressives argued that the toll of Israel's war on Gaza civilians drained support from young people, liberals and Arab Americans. Zoom in: Paul Rivera, who wrote the DNC autopsy, told…
The author of the Democratic National Committee's 2024 election "autopsy" confirmed an Axios report that he concluded the war in Gaza hurt Kamala Harris politically — and that he'd privately shared that assessment with a pro-Palestinian group. - He said he drafted that finding late last year but never submitted it to party leadership. Why it matters: Democrats have spent months debating whether the Biden administration's support for Israel during its war on Hamas contributed to Harris' defeat. - Moderates disputed its electoral significance, while progressives argued that the toll of Israel's war on Gaza civilians drained support from young people, liberals and Arab Americans. Zoom in: Paul Rivera, who wrote the DNC autopsy, told…Open
Working class voters have moved away from the Democratic Party. Winning them back is key to the party's future, a new reports shows. But first, the messaging has to change.
Working class voters have moved away from the Democratic Party. Winning them back is key to the party's future, a new reports shows. But first, the messaging has to change.Open
The middle class is larger than you think, and growing.
As part of NPR's Swing Shift project checking in with swing voters, these Americans are split on who is to blame for high gas prices but they all agree it has an impact on their personal finances.
As part of NPR's Swing Shift project checking in with swing voters, these Americans are split on who is to blame for high gas prices but they all agree it has an impact on their personal finances.Open
Swing voters in North Carolina say they are frustrated with President Trump and the state of the economy, but aren't ready to abandon him or his party as the midterms inch closer.
Swing voters in North Carolina say they are frustrated with President Trump and the state of the economy, but aren't ready to abandon him or his party as the midterms inch closer.Open
Much of the focus of the ongoing redistricting war has been on which political party will come out on top. But it's voters who will pay a cost, say voting experts and voting rights advocates.
Much of the focus of the ongoing redistricting war has been on which political party will come out on top. But it's voters who will pay a cost, say voting experts and voting rights advocates.Open
A generational and structural shift is decoupling Black identity from Democratic Party loyalty, transforming a once-reliable voting bloc into a cohort of "political free agents" that the GOP is uniquely positioned to exploit. Why it matters: Even modest GOP gains — combined with weakening party loyalty — could make a big difference in close elections in a post-Voting Rights Act world. - President Trump is making gains with Black voters despite posting racist videos , using racist rhetoric and advancing policies critics say erase slavery history and weaken voting rights. - An Axios review of recent data shows breaks in the strong Black support for Democrats going back to John F. Kennedy's 1960 presidential run and Barack…
A generational and structural shift is decoupling Black identity from Democratic Party loyalty, transforming a once-reliable voting bloc into a cohort of "political free agents" that the GOP is uniquely positioned to exploit. Why it matters: Even modest GOP gains — combined with weakening party loyalty — could make a big difference in close elections in a post-Voting Rights Act world. - President Trump is making gains with Black voters despite posting racist videos , using racist rhetoric and advancing policies critics say erase slavery history and weaken voting rights. - An Axios review of recent data shows breaks in the strong Black support for Democrats going back to John F. Kennedy's 1960 presidential run and Barack…Open
Data: Charles F. Kettering Foundation and Gallup; Chart: Avery Lotz/Axios Heavy social media users are less likely to think democracy is the best form of government and more likely to stray from democratic norms, according to a newly released study from the Charles F. Kettering Foundation and Gallup. The big picture: New research suggests social media is reshaping how people engage with democracy, expanding access to ideas while also contributing to a more fractured media environment . Zoom in: Among U.S. adults who don't use social media or use it for less than an hour a day, 72% and 73%, respectively, rank democracy as the best form of government. - The share slips to 57% among those who spend five or more hours a day on social media.…
Data: Charles F. Kettering Foundation and Gallup; Chart: Avery Lotz/Axios Heavy social media users are less likely to think democracy is the best form of government and more likely to stray from democratic norms, according to a newly released study from the Charles F. Kettering Foundation and Gallup. The big picture: New research suggests social media is reshaping how people engage with democracy, expanding access to ideas while also contributing to a more fractured media environment . Zoom in: Among U.S. adults who don't use social media or use it for less than an hour a day, 72% and 73%, respectively, rank democracy as the best form of government. - The share slips to 57% among those who spend five or more hours a day on social media.…Open