AXIOS (Neil Irwin) - Quantifying the AI boom crowding-out effect
When investment on the scale of the current AI boom occurs, it inevitably has to come at the expense of something. All the resources devoted to building data centers and developing AI models would otherwise go to something else. The big picture: This crowding out is smaller than you might expect, Goldman Sachs economists find in a new note. - But it does exist, they say, and takes the form of displacing other tech investment and construction , as well as raising corporate borrowing costs. By the numbers: AI investment will be about $600 billion this year, some 2% of GDP, accounting for 10% of business fixed investment and 15% of equipment investment, economists Jessica Rindels and David Mericle wrote. State of play: The first…
When investment on the scale of the current AI boom occurs, it inevitably has to come at the expense of something. All the resources devoted to building data centers and developing AI models would otherwise go to something else. The big picture: This crowding out is smaller than you might expect, Goldman Sachs economists find in a new note. - But it does exist, they say, and takes the form of displacing other tech investment and construction , as well as raising corporate borrowing costs. By the numbers: AI investment will be about $600 billion this year, some 2% of GDP, accounting for 10% of business fixed investment and 15% of equipment investment, economists Jessica Rindels and David Mericle wrote. State of play: The first…Open