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NYTIMES (Lisa Lerer and Shane Goldmacher) - Midterm Elections: Who Is Winning the Race for Congress? Latest Data

It’s Oct. 5 — 29 days away from the midterms. Here’s the state of play.

Sourcehttps://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/05/us/politics/midterm-elections-control-congress.html
Keywordspoliticselectionelection-2026midterm-electionscongresssenatehouse-of-representativesdemocratsrepublicansgopcampaignpollingvoter-trendsgovernmentbudgeteconomyinflationcost-of-livingpartisan-dividepolitical-strategy
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Related article: NYTIMES (Jess Bidgood and Shane Goldmacher): Who’s Winning the Race for Congress? •

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Related article: NYTIMES (Shane Goldmacher): Who’s Winning the Race for Congress? •

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Related article: NYTIMES (Annie Karni and Carl Hulse): Bracing for Midterm Losses, Republicans in Congress Try a Pre-election Pivot •

From related NYTIMES (Annie Karni and Carl Hulse): Bracing for Midterm Losses, Republicans in Congress Try a Pre-election Pivot
Why are Republicans in Congress attempting a pre-election pivot as of late September 2026?
Republicans are attempting a pre-election pivot because they are bracing for midterm losses after nearly two years of allowing President Trump to set their agenda.
Q&A ID 47265fc8-7bbe-421b-af05-394eec67c536
From related NYTIMES (Annie Karni and Carl Hulse): Bracing for Midterm Losses, Republicans in Congress Try a Pre-election Pivot
What action are G.O.P. senators attempting to take before the November elections according to reports from September 2026?
G.O.P. senators are attempting to take quick action on cost-of-living measures that they can show to voters before the November elections.
Q&A ID e0311544-d91c-4e5b-a2cf-039c9730ae3c
From related NYTIMES (Annie Karni and Carl Hulse): Bracing for Midterm Losses, Republicans in Congress Try a Pre-election Pivot
What specific type of measures are G.O.P. senators looking to implement before the November election?
G.O.P. senators are looking to take quick action on cost-of-living measures to present to voters before November.
Q&A ID 248b7bc6-1a5e-432b-8d9f-7c7e3091c995
From related NYTIMES (Annie Karni and Carl Hulse): Bracing for Midterm Losses, Republicans in Congress Try a Pre-election Pivot
How have Republican senators approached agenda-setting over the nearly two years leading up to this period?
For nearly two years, G.O.P. senators have allowed President Trump to set their agenda.
Q&A ID 4baefca6-aa33-4ba8-9613-78397ad74f96

Related article: CNN (Youtube): New survey predicts trouble for Trump ahead of midterms •

Related article: THE HILL (Youtube): LIVE: The Senate map expands — Which states are now in play? •

From related THE HILL (Youtube): LIVE: The Senate map expands — Which states are now in play?
What specific topics will be covered during the live discussion on the Senate map and congressional turnover?
The discussion will cover which Senate races are moving into reach or slipping away for both parties, warning signs for Republicans among independent voters, and whether the year 2026 could produce a modern record for congressional turnover.
Q&A ID 3c2c22a4-ff01-4da5-afed-d324d8b5a2d9
From related THE HILL (Youtube): LIVE: The Senate map expands — Which states are now in play?
At what time is the live discussion and Q&A session regarding the Senate races scheduled to begin?
The discussion and Q&A are scheduled to begin at noon EDT.
Q&A ID 7d613d28-8efe-4504-a323-3f6443f337bc
From related THE HILL (Youtube): LIVE: The Senate map expands — Which states are now in play?
Who are the scheduled participants for the discussion regarding the expanding Senate map and the battle for control of Congress?
The discussion will feature The Hill’s senior vice president of editorial content, Bill Sammon, and Decision Desk HQ’s chief elections analyst, Geoffrey Skelley.
Q&A ID 380b3038-c6bf-409c-9a22-3f76638a4f65

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From related NEWSNATION (Youtube): More Senate seats come into play for both parties as the midterms approach
According to the KSTP/SurveyUSA poll, what is the current status of the competitive Senate race in Minnesota?
The race in Minnesota is highly competitive, with the latest KSTP/SurveyUSA poll showing the Democratic nominee, Minnesota Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan, and Republican Michele Tafoya tied at 42%.
Q&A ID ef73d82a-f83a-4726-9362-1e2673a9fa4a
From related NEWSNATION (Youtube): More Senate seats come into play for both parties as the midterms approach
What recent shifts did the Cook Political Report make regarding the Senate race in New Hampshire?
Cook Political Report shifted New Hampshire toward Republicans, moving the race from "lean Democrat" to a "toss-up."
Q&A ID d887b1bb-29df-4ca2-9300-45c337a1710d
From related NEWSNATION (Youtube): More Senate seats come into play for both parties as the midterms approach
How did the Cook Political Report change its outlook for the Senate races in Kansas and South Carolina?
The nonpartisan election handicapper shifted two GOP strongholds in the Democrats' direction, moving Kansas from "likely Republican" to "lean Republican" and South Carolina from "solid Republican" to "likely Republican."
Q&A ID 280beaf6-a835-4e28-8064-df85f4fa78e3
From related NEWSNATION (Youtube): More Senate seats come into play for both parties as the midterms approach
How has the Cook Political Report updated its outlook for the Senate race in New Hampshire?
Last week, Cook Political Report shifted New Hampshire toward Republicans, moving the race from “lean Democrat” to a “toss-up.”
Q&A ID 1d2f4a2e-93cc-4327-a848-d7066305bbdc

Related article: MS NOW (Youtube): Ruhle's take on the midterms 75 days out •

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