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NYTIMES (Bayliss Wagner and Ruth Igielnik) - Why Were Polls So Wrong in the Wisconsin Governor’s Race?

Francesca Hong, the democratic socialist running in Wisconsin’s Democratic primary for governor, had a double-digit lead in polls as recently as last week. Then she lost. What happened?

YOUTUBE (MS NOW) - MAJOR UPSET: David Crowley WINS Democratic nomination for Wisconsin Governor, BEATS Francesca Hong

Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley has secured the Democratic nomination for governor of Wisconsin over Democratic Socialist Francesca Hong. Crowley was ahead of Hong by roughly 3,200 votes when the race was called, and because Hong has now conceded, there will be no recount. MS NOW’s Hunter Woodall joins Way Too Early with a recap of all the primary races.

REDSTATE (Bob Hoge) - Upset: Trump-Backed TN Rep. Andy Ogles Falls in GOP Primary to Former Agriculture Commissioner

WASHINGTONPOST (Amy B Wang) - Trump-endorsed candidate loses to Michigan man who dropped out of race

Thomas J. Smith suspended his campaign for Michigan’s 8th District. Yet he is projected to beat Amir Hassan, a rival backed by the president.

YOUTUBE (The Hill) - Dem. Taylor Rehmet Flips Senate Seat In Texas, Narrowing GOP Edge | TRENDING

Fort Worth Democrat Taylor Rehmet, a machinist and Air Force veteran, defeated Southlake Republican Leigh Wambsganss to fill the vacant state Senate District 9. The district favored President Trump by 17 points in 2024. The race went to a runoff after none of the candidates were able to clinch a majority in the November election.

AI:Democrat Taylor Rehmet, an Air Force veteran and machinist, has pulled off a massive upset by capturing the Texas state Senate District 9 seat in a runoff election. In a stunning blow to the Republican Party, Rehmet defeated Republican Leigh WambsgansS in a district that had previously favored President Trump by 17 points during the 2024 election. This victory follows a series of recent Democratic successes in deep-red Texas territory and signals a dangerous shift in regional momentum for the GOP.Open

NYTIMES (J. David Goodman) - Democratic Upset in Deep Red Texas District Rattles Republicans

A Democrat won a state legislative special election in a district that President Trump carried by 17 percentage points, unnerving Republicans in Texas and beyond.

AI:In a shocking blow to the GOP, a Democrat has captured a state legislative seat in a deep-red Texas district that President Trump previously carried by a massive 17-point margin. This upset serves as a major warning sign for Republicans, signaling potential vulnerabilities even in strongholds and adding significant pressure to their efforts to maintain control amidst recent setbacks in the state's political landscape.Open