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AXIOS (Stef W. Kight) - Scoop: "Delusional" Senate forecast rattles Sea Island retreat

A pollster for Senate Republicans was met with disbelief on Saturday after telling GOP donors and operatives that they could grow their majority in November's midterm elections , sources tell Axios. Why it matters: "Delusional," one attendee at the National Republican Senatorial Committee's Sea Island retreat in Georgia told Axios after the presentation by the pollster, Erik Iverson. "The mood is not good," said another. - "I think most attendees down here are politically astute and realistic about the headwinds Republicans face," said a third. - A fourth attendee described conversations at the event as Republicans sarcastically telling each other "we're winning" and "everything's good." - The Sea Island fall retreat is a major donor…

How much funding is the NRSC requesting to support Senate races in Alaska, Iowa, and Ohio?
The NRSC is asking donors for $9 million to assist in Alaska, Iowa, and Ohio, states where President Trump won by double digits in 2024.
Q&A ID 09c50ef4-5946-4461-bc77-cf6eaf3a1d74
Which Senate Republican leaders and candidates were listed as speakers at the Sea Island retreat?
Speakers included NRSC Chair Tim Scott (R-S.C.), Sen. Shelley Moore Capito (R-W. Va.), Senate Majority Leader John Thune (R-S.D.), and NRSC political director Brendan Jaspers; a panel also included Sen. Bernie Moreno (R-Ohio) and Senate candidates Julia Letlow (Louisiana), Kevin Hern (Oklahoma), Andy Barr (Kentucky), and Harriet Hageman (Wyoming).
Q&A ID 01c5b0b0-3fe6-4213-a908-304975d1298e
What data did Erik Iverson present regarding swing voters and the development of new data centers?
According to slides obtained by Axios, Iverson shared that 60% of swing voters would consider supporting new data centers in their state if they met specific community requirements, such as paying all their energy costs and ensuring they do not negatively affect local water supplies.
Q&A ID d6a54117-75e0-4832-b855-571270d023dc
What specific Senate outcome did Erik Iverson suggest to GOP donors and operatives during the NRSC retreat in Georgia?
Erik Iverson, a former Montana Republican Party chair, suggested that Republicans could net gain one seat in the Senate after the November midterms and predicted that all incumbent Republican Senators would hold their seats because they have well-funded, good candidates.
Q&A ID 8e7e4a93-43a3-485e-93b8-7a952e97f736
What was the reaction of attendees at the National Republican Senatorial Committee (NRSC) Sea Island retreat to pollster Erik Iverson's Senate forecast?
Attendees expressed disbelief and described the forecast as "delusional," with one source noting that the mood at the event was "not good" and others remarking that participants were sarcastically telling each other "we're winning" due to the political headwinds Republicans face.
Q&A ID 089802f1-c54c-48fd-9007-c7eeff73f525