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AXIOS (Courtenay Brown) - Employers are hiring less but paying more

Private employment data suggests that the labor market might be tighter than the headline hiring numbers alone suggest, with worker pay accelerating alongside lackluster jobs growth. Why it matters: Employers are pulling back on hiring as they navigate an uncertain economic outlook, but supply constraints continue to limit the pool of available workers in some industries. - That's helping speed up pay growth — a boon for workers in industries like construction and health care, where employers are still competing for scarce labor. - But the labor market is becoming increasingly uneven: While employers in some sectors are paying up to attract workers, others are more cautious about hiring as they contend with geopolitical uncertainty,…

AXIOS (Neil Irwin) - The American consumer stands firm

Data: Census Bureau; Chart: Neil Irwin/Axios We don't know yet how the Iran war and the resulting surge in energy prices will ripple through the U.S. economy. We do know that American consumers were in pretty solid shape before it all began. The big picture: New retail sales and employment data out Wednesday morning point to an underlying strength in consumer demand, propped up by wages that have kept rising. - The question for the months ahead is whether the underlying trends that have kept consumers afloat — including a buoyant stock market and a low-layoff job market — can power it through an era of war-induced shocks and weak hiring. Driving the news: Retail sales rose 0.6% in February, the Census Bureau said, reversing a…