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AXIOS (Neil Irwin) - Why AI makes central banking tougher

Central bankers, as a rule, try to maintain stable prices, a strong job market and a sound financial system. The AI boom is a complexifier on all three fronts. The big picture: AI is blurring the usual indicators that central bankers rely upon to set policy, a new paper from a leading international body finds, simultaneously affecting the supply and demand sides of the economy and driving both structural and cyclical change. - The upshot, per the Bank for International Settlements — the Basel, Switzerland-based central bank for central banks — is that the rules of thumb on which policymakers have long relied are all being shuffled at once. State of play: In the U.S. and other hotbeds of AI innovation, an investment boom in the near…

AXIOS (Courtenay Brown) - The AI boom's historical warning

Data: BIS ; Chart: Danielle Alberti/Axios Today's AI buildout resembles earlier technological revolutions and capital booms that ended in painful busts. - That's the new warning from the Bank for International Settlements, a top forum known as the "central bank for central banks." Why it matters: The technological revolutions that transform the economy have a long history of attracting more investment than what near-term returns justify. - The risk is that AI follows the same pattern at a moment when the global economy is unusually reliant on a single investment boom to keep the expansion on track. Flashback: Some of the world's greatest technological breakthroughs — canals, railroads, the internet — sparked enormous investment…