With primary season now in the rearview mirror, what did the results reveal about the upcoming fight for control of Congress? Plus, what Republicans’ results in midterm redistricting battles and recent polling may signal about key races in November. Join The Hill’s senior vice president of editorial content, Bill Sammon, and Decision Desk HQ’s chief elections analyst, Geoffrey Skelley, who will break it all down and take your questions. The discussion and Q&A is scheduled to begin at noon EDT. Watch above.
With 48 days to go until the midterm elections, Decision Desk HQ projects a 48% chance Democrats take control of both the House and Senate, a 29% chance Republicans retain control of both chambers, and a 23% chance it will be split. NewsNation's Alex Caprariello joins "NewsNation Live" with the latest. Start your day with "Morning in America," NewsNation's live three-hour national morning newscast hosted by Markie Martin. Weekdays starting at 6a/5C. #MorningInAmerica NewsNation is your source for fact-based, unbiased news for all Americans.
According to new projections from Decision Desk HQ, Democrats are narrowly favored to take control of the Senate this fall. The latest forecast shows Democrats favored in several key battleground states, with North Carolina rated likely Democratic and Alaska, Maine, Ohio and Texas among the states currently rated toss-ups. Former Hardball host Chris Matthews joins Morning Joe to discuss the upcoming midterm elections, calling Trump “desperate” as the midterms approach and criticizing Trump’s use of the term “communists” to describe Democrats while pointing to the world leaders with whom the president gets along best.
Could AI-generated voters help solve the political polling industry’s growing challenges? Decision Desk HQ's Geoffrey Skelley and The Hill's Bill Sammon examine the rise of “synthetic polling” and the questions surrounding whether it can accurately capture a changing electorate. Watch the full episode here: https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/data-nerds/6081382-democratic-chances-senate-control-midterms-ddhq-live-discussion/ #ai #polls #aipolls #synthetic #syntheticpolling #politicalpoll #polling #politicalpolling #datanerds #decisiondeskhq #ddhq #artificialintelligence
The Hill presents one hour of live, real-time primary night coverage, diving deep into the 2026 Massachusetts primary on Tuesday, Sept. 1. The Hill's coverage will be anchored by NewsNation's Cory Smith, joined by The Hill campaign and congressional reporters, Decision Desk HQ, plus political analysts. The live, primary coverage delivers fast, accurate results and sharp analysis as races are called in real time by election data experts from Decision Desk HQ and The Hill's Midterm team. Live coverage is scheduled to begin at 8:30 p.m. EDT. Watch the live video above.
Republicans are narrowly favored to win the Senate in Decision Desk HQ's latest forecast, but their advantage is about as slim as it gets. DDHQ’s Scott Tranter explains what the latest numbers reveal about the battle for control and why certainty is in short supply. #senate #senatecontrol #republicans #gop #democrats #dems #decisiondeskhq #ddhq #forecast #senaterepublicans #senatedemocrats #midterms #election2026 #2026election #midterms2026 #datanerds
A new poll from Emerson College shared a glimpse of the presidential contenders leading up to the 2028 election. Drew McCoy, president of Decision Desk HQ, joined Sunrise on The Hill to break down the survey. #Presidentialelection #Decisiondesk #politics
Greg Abbott leads in polling of the Texas governor’s race, but his narrow advantage in Decision Desk HQ’s average suggests a more competitive contest than he has faced before. DDHQ’s Geoffrey Skelley examines what is tightening the race and how another major statewide contest could shape the outcome. #gregabbott #abbott #texas #texassgovernor #republican #tx #txgovernor #gop #txgop #texasrepublican #decisiondeskhq #ddhq #datanerds #ginahinojosa #polling #pollingaverage #governorrace
Rep. Byron Donalds (R-Fla.) and former Florida Rep. David Jolly, a Republican-turned-Democrat, are projected to face off in the Florida governor’s race this fall to replace Republican Gov. Ron DeSantis, according to Decision Desk HQ. #byrondonalds #davidjolly #florida
Rep. Byron Donalds (R-Fla.) and former Florida Rep. David Jolly, a Republican-turned-Democrat, are projected to face off in the Florida governor’s race this fall to replace Republican Gov. Ron DeSantis, according to Decision Desk HQ. #byrondonalds #florida #trump
