Pollsters appeared to blow another high-stakes Midwest election Tuesday, as center-left Democrat David Crowley stunned socialist Francesca Hong in Wisconsin's primary for governor. - But on Wednesday, the reasons for the miss seemed clear: Surveys a week before the primary captured only a hint of a rapidly changing roller coaster of a race in which Crowley was gaining fast, and Hong was playing defense. Driving the news: Two polls had shown Hong up by about 20 points over Crowley. But Crowley wound up winning by half a percentage point in an upset that interrupted a run of primary wins by left-wing Democrats this spring. - Just a week earlier, polls also had overestimated progressive Abdul El-Sayed's strength in the Michigan Senate…
AI:Pollsters failed once again to accurately predict the outcome of the Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial primary, where establishment candidate David Crowley pulled off a late-game upset against socialist Francesca Hong. Despite early surveys projecting a comfortable lead for Hong, Crowley surged from 20% to roughly 40% in the final days as voters reacted to Hong's controversial comments regarding Thanksgiving and concerns over her electability. The inaccuracy is being attributed to polls capturing only outdated snapshots of a volatile race, the inherent difficulty of modeling open primaries where crossover voting occurs, and Hong's failure to utilize television advertising during the critical final stretch to counter negative narratives.…Open
Today is primary day in Wisconsin and Democratic voters will decide on their pick for the gubernatorial nominee. The race comes amid broader national concerns about the future of the Democratic party amid a divide between progressives and moderates. Former Chair of the Wisconsin Democratic Party Ben Wikler joins Peter Alexander to share his outlook.
OPINION: Morning Joe host Joe Scarborough sounded off on leftist influencer Hasan Piker, arguing that Democrats will hurt their electability by aligning with him. #JoeScarborough #HasanPiker #Democrats About Rising: Rising is a weekday morning show with bipartisan hosts that breaks the mold of morning TV by taking viewers inside the halls of Washington power like never before. The show leans into the day's political cycle with cutting edge analysis from DC insiders who can predict what is going to happen. It also sets the day's political agenda by breaking exclusive news with a team of scoop-driven reporters and demanding answers during interviews with the country's most important political newsmakers. Follow Rising on social media:…
A week after the Michigan primary, tests of progressive power will play out in the Midwest, raising questions of whether far left candidates can win come November or if the GOP can pick up moderates.
OPINION: Texas Rep. Jasmine Crockett says she's skeptical of James Talarico's ability to defeat Republican Ken Paxton in the state's senate election. #JamesTalarico #JasmineCrockett #KenPaxton About Rising: Rising is a weekday morning show with bipartisan hosts that breaks the mold of morning TV by taking viewers inside the halls of Washington power like never before. The show leans into the day's political cycle with cutting edge analysis from DC insiders who can predict what is going to happen. It also sets the day's political agenda by breaking exclusive news with a team of scoop-driven reporters and demanding answers during interviews with the country's most important political newsmakers. Follow Rising on social media: Website:…
Democratic primary elections in Michigan, Wisconsin and Minnesota have made the Midwest a test case for whether progressive candidates can win in competitive states and what electability really means.
