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Bad polls. Misleading betting odds. Surveys meant to shape narratives. Ahead of the midterms and 2028, there is suddenly serious confusion about candidate strength and voter sentiment.
The last-minute scramble to name a replacement reminds some in the party of the challenges they faced in 2024.
The two men chatted on Mr. Newsom’s podcast about Democrats, Joe Biden, Graham Platner, phone addiction and other topics.
Democrats have a competitive Senate primary race in Iowa, where the party is hoping to make gains, while a smokejumper is running in a contested House primary in Montana.
A private conversation involving House members from Virginia and the top House Democrat reflected the fury and desperation that has gripped the party after Friday’s ruling.
A court ruling that struck down an election map swiftly ended some Democratic House candidacies and pushed others into much tougher races.
Three Republican-led committees, responding to a New York Times report this month, accused the Democratic fund-raising organization of withholding documents from a subpoena request.
The signs are familiar: an unpopular Republican president, well-funded Democrats and anecdotes of disaffected G.O.P. and independent voters.