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AXIOS (Neil Irwin) - Borrowing costs are surging amid Iran war

Data: Federal Reserve; Chart: Neil Irwin/Axios The Iran war is sending longer-term borrowing costs surging amid prospects for higher inflation, fewer Federal Reserve rate cuts and more federal borrowing. Why it matters: Higher rates create new pressure for an already-faltering housing sector, make the U.S. government's fiscal challenges worse and could weigh on business investment and consumers alike. - It contrasts with past geopolitical tumult, when money frequently flowed into Treasury securities as a safe haven. Driving the news: The 10-year Treasury note yielded 4.45% at around 10:30am ET, up half a percentage point from 3.96% just before the U.S. and Israeli attack on Iran. It receded some and was at 4.42% by 11:45am ET. - This…

AXIOS (Neil Irwin) - The Iran war is a new test of America's economic superpower

If you predicted the U.S. would fall into recession due to the latest headlines , the last few years have made you look dumb. Through interest rate increases, armed conflict in Europe and a trade war, it has proven stunningly resilient. The big picture: America's economic superpower has been its scale, diversity and adaptability that have allowed it to continue chugging along whenever crises arise. - Now, the Iran war will test again how much the U.S. economy can absorb without a meaningful downturn. State of play: With Iran threatening attacks on ships that pass through the Strait of Hormuz , the price of oil is up 43% this month, at over $103 a barrel at Friday's close. - Middle East exports of other key commodities, including the raw…