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AXIOS (Neil Irwin) - A quieter Fed chief means others narrate the story

Federal Reserve chairman Kevin Warsh testified before Congress over two days last week, totaling more than five hours. Yet it was comments from several of his colleagues that gave the clearest picture of what the central bank is likely to do at next week's policy meeting. Why it matters: It is a central paradox of Warsh's communications strategy. He is determined to get out of the business of giving markets and the public much guidance on future policy , which means the markets fill in the gaps based on comments from other officials. - That isn't necessarily a bad thing — it preserves flexibility on interest rate policy that was diminished when former Fed chiefs all but preannounced upcoming rate moves. - But it also means that Warsh…

AXIOS (Neil Irwin) - Borrowing costs are surging amid Iran war

Data: Federal Reserve; Chart: Neil Irwin/Axios The Iran war is sending longer-term borrowing costs surging amid prospects for higher inflation, fewer Federal Reserve rate cuts and more federal borrowing. Why it matters: Higher rates create new pressure for an already-faltering housing sector, make the U.S. government's fiscal challenges worse and could weigh on business investment and consumers alike. - It contrasts with past geopolitical tumult, when money frequently flowed into Treasury securities as a safe haven. Driving the news: The 10-year Treasury note yielded 4.45% at around 10:30am ET, up half a percentage point from 3.96% just before the U.S. and Israeli attack on Iran. It receded some and was at 4.42% by 11:45am ET. - This…