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AXIOS (Russell Contreras) - Exclusive poll: GOP's gains among Latinos fade in House battlegrounds

Data: Hart Research/TelevisaUnivision; Table: Russell Contreras/Axios Democrats have gained sharply with Latino voters in some of the country's most competitive House districts since 2024, a new Hart Research/TelevisaUnivision poll shared exclusively with Axios shows. Why it matters: President Trump came close to erasing Democrats' longtime advantage among Latinos in the last presidential election. Now, with control of Congress at stake and Trump's approval ratings hitting new lows , that breakthrough appears to have eroded. - Coming out of the 2024 election, Republicans hoped Trump's near-parity with Democrats among Latinos in 2024 would harden into a lasting political realignment favoring the GOP. - Instead, this poll and surveys…

AXIOS (Russell Contreras) - Historic first: Older adults now outnumber the youngest children for the first time

Data: U.S. Census Bureau, International Database ; Chart: Noah Bressner/Axios People 65 and older now outnumber children ages 5 and younger worldwide for the first time in recorded history, according to a new report by the U.S. Census. Why it matters: A global plunge in fertility — demographers' term for the number of children being born — and increased longevity are creating a demographic inversion that's projected to deepen for decades. - It's a trend that's shifting the historic balance between working-age people and older adults . By the numbers: The scale and speed of the shift as the youngest Baby Boomers move toward their mid-60s are striking. They reflect the scope of the challenge in caring for the elderly and maintaining…

AXIOS (Nathan Bomey) - Nvidia has a blowout quarter, but Wall Street wants more

Nvidia topped revenue and earnings expectations in its latest quarter, but the stock ticked downward in extended trading Wednesday as investors maintained high expectations for the AI darling. Why it matters: The stock is widely considered a bellwether for the health of the broader AI economy, but lately it has been trailing the broader semiconductor sector in market gains. Zoom in: Nvidia posted revenue of $96.2 billion, more than doubling its year-earlier showing, while net income jumped 126% to $59.7 billion. - That exceeded S&P Capital IQ expectations of $92.1 billion in revenue and $51.2 billion in earnings for the period ended July 26. - Revenue from data centers — Nvidia's largest source of sales — rose 117%, to $89 billion. …

AXIOS (Madison Mills) - OpenAI blinks first in AI safety standoff

OpenAI said Tuesday it is pausing some model work over safety concerns, days after rival Anthropic doubled down on insisting that its own safety measures were solid enough that it didn't need to slow down. Why it matters: The two leading AI labs are publicly diverging on how to manage safety risks, potentially putting them on different model-release timelines as both prepare for expected IPOs. State of play: OpenAI has introduced new safety practices after finding that its upcoming model, Astra, posed potentially critical cybersecurity risks. - "We always said we would take action if we felt that model capabilities were outstripping the pace of safety and alignment," CEO Sam Altman wrote on X , signaling that the Astra model was showing…

AXIOS (Zachary Basu) - Tucker Carlson unveils 10-point manifesto amid third-party speculation

Tucker Carlson used a highly promoted livestream Wednesday to unveil a 10-point vision for America — defining the worldview of a breakaway MAGA faction increasingly at odds with President Trump . Why it matters: After vowing last month to "help build a third party," Carlson fueled further speculation this weekend by hosting MAGA dissidents at his home in Maine, where they urged him to run for president in 2028. - The former Fox News host stopped short of a formal launch, instead presenting the manifesto as the foundation for "whatever comes next" — a new political order he said could "find all kinds of expressions." Zoom in: Carlson said any successor to America's faltering political system should begin with a shared understanding…

AXIOS (Donica Phifer) - Trump condemns violence, slams press at White House Correspondents' Dinner

President Trump used his speech at Friday's rescheduled White House Correspondents' Association Dinner to condemn the political violence that postponed the annual event — and in the next breath attack and insult the gathered press. The big picture: The president opened with jokes to the hundreds of assembled journalists and even made a little fun of himself, in a speech that started light — before descending into a litany of familiar complaints about reporters and prominent Democrats. Zoom out: "In America we do not yield to political violence," Trump told event attendees, referencing the gunman who opened fire outside the ballroom where he and hundreds of others were gathered for the previously scheduled dinner in April. - "In…

AXIOS (Marc Caputo) - GOP midterms strategy: Make it a "hate election"

Republicans admit the GOP's midterm forecast is bleak. But they're clinging to two hopes: voters' fear and loathing of Democrats. - "It's going to be a hate election," a Republican tied to President Trump 's political operation told Axios. "Voters have to hate the Dems more than they hate us. And we have material to work with." Why it matters: There's broad GOP frustration that Trump has made challenging midterm elections worse by not focusing heavily on pocketbook issues — especially the tax cuts Republicans won — while launching the Iran war, which raised gas prices and fueled inflation. - Trump's prime-time speech Thursday night about China's alleged influence campaign targeting U.S. voters six years ago did little to assuage…

AXIOS (Maria Curi) - Pro-AI super PAC keeps $31M ready for the midterms

With millions of dollars sitting in AI super PAC accounts, the industry's influence in the midterms is on track to expand. Why it matters: AI groups have already become major players in congressional races, but the latest Federal Election Commission filings suggest that the biggest spending may lie ahead. - Candidates are not definitively winning or losing on the AI issue alone so far. But with millions of dollars still available, AI groups are positioned to push their priorities hard through November. By the numbers: Leading the Future — a pro AI-industry super PAC backed by tech execs and investors pushing rapid AI development and lighter regulation — closed out Q2 with $31.5 million after transferring $20 million to affiliated…

AXIOS (Madison Mills) - Help wanted: Anthropic hires to head off catastrophe

Anthropic has warned that its own technology could bring the end of civilization. Check out its latest job listings to understand how. Why it matters: Anthropic has 32 very scary job openings for roles designed to prevent people from using AI to build everything from man-made explosives to nuclear weapons. Catch up quick: Anthropic is hiring analysts focused on chemicals and explosives, nuclear weapons, financial scams, cybercrime and more. - "As an Enforcement Analyst focused on Radiological & Nuclear Harms, you will play a critical role in protecting against the misuse of AI systems for radiological and nuclear harms," one job description reads. - Pay for these roles ranges in the mid- to upper-$200Ks. "Ensuring our models don't…