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AMERICANALMANAC (Sadie Smith) - NOAA forecast puts odds of record-shattering El Niño above 90 percent Sat Aug 15 16:22:00 2026

Federal scientists now say there is a greater than 90 percent chance this El Niño becomes "very strong" by winter, and a 69 percent chance it surpasses every El Niño event on record, a prospect one economist warns could make it the costliest ever. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center released an updated forecast on Aug. 13 […] The post NOAA forecast puts odds of record-shattering El Niño above 90 percent appeared first on American Almanac .

Federal scientists now say there is a greater than 90 percent chance this El Niño becomes "very strong" by winter, and a 69 percent chance it surpasses every El Niño event on record, a prospect one economist warns could make it the costliest ever. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center released an updated forecast on Aug. 13 reporting that sea-surface temperatures in the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean have climbed more than 3.6 degrees above average, a reading that multiple climate models from North America and abroad agree points toward a historic event. The agency's report projects the warming will continue to strengthen through the end of 2026, with impacts rippling across weather patterns from the American heartland to Southeast Asia.…Open

AMERICANALMANAC (Sadie Smith) - El Niño fuels new tropical threats in the Eastern Pacific, and Hawaii sits in the forecast crosshairs Sat Aug 8 17:09:47 2026

Federal forecasters are tracking two developing disturbances in the Eastern Pacific that could aim tropical weather at Hawaii within the next ten days, a threat amplified by strengthening El Niño conditions that have already produced a Category 5 hurricane this season. The National Hurricane Center is monitoring both areas for potential tropical development, though it […] The post El Niño fuels new tropical threats in the Eastern Pacific, and Hawaii sits in the forecast crosshairs appeared first on American Almanac .

Federal forecasters are tracking two developing disturbances in the Eastern Pacific that could aim tropical weather at Hawaii within the next ten days, a threat amplified by strengthening El Niño conditions that have already produced a Category 5 hurricane this season. The National Hurricane Center is monitoring both areas for potential tropical development, though it currently assigns low odds of organization over the next seven days. But several computer and artificial-intelligence forecast models, including Google's DeepMind model and the European forecast model, project that tropical activity could reach Hawaii roughly between August 14 and 17, Fox Weather reported . NOAA's Climate Prediction Center has flagged the region southeast…Open

YOUTUBE (NewsNation) - NOAA models show the potential of a ‘Godzilla’ El Niño this year | NewsNation Mon Apr 20 23:23:51 2026

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The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration is predicting an El Niño this summer but adds models show the potential for a "Super," or "Godzilla," El Niño. NewsNation’s Rich Bodee explains how it could impact you.