AMERICANALMANAC (Sadie Smith) - NOAA forecast puts odds of record-shattering El Niño above 90 percent
Federal scientists now say there is a greater than 90 percent chance this El Niño becomes "very strong" by winter, and a 69 percent chance it surpasses every El Niño event on record, a prospect one economist warns could make it the costliest ever. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center released an updated forecast on Aug. 13 […] The post NOAA forecast puts odds of record-shattering El Niño above 90 percent appeared first on American Almanac .
Federal scientists now say there is a greater than 90 percent chance this El Niño becomes "very strong" by winter, and a 69 percent chance it surpasses every El Niño event on record, a prospect one economist warns could make it the costliest ever. NOAA's Climate Prediction Center released an updated forecast on Aug. 13 reporting that sea-surface temperatures in the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean have climbed more than 3.6 degrees above average, a reading that multiple climate models from North America and abroad agree points toward a historic event. The agency's report projects the warming will continue to strengthen through the end of 2026, with impacts rippling across weather patterns from the American heartland to Southeast Asia.…Open
AI:NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center has issued a massive updated forecast revealing a greater than 90 percent chance that this winter will feature a "very strong" El Niño, with a staggering 69 percent probability of it becoming the most powerful event ever recorded since 1950. Sea-surface temperatures in the eastern equatorial Pacific have already surged more than 3.6 degrees above average, signaling a historic phenomenon that economists warn could be the costliest in history, potentially mirroring or exceeding the multi-trillion dollar losses seen in the 1982 and 1997 cycles. This massive shift is expected to disrupt global weather patterns through late 2026, bringing warmer temperatures to the Pacific Northwest and Great Lakes, while…Open