CNN’s Chief Data Analyst Harry Enten combed through thousands of polls and ran the odds to figure out what the most—and least—likely outcomes are for the 2026 midterm election to answer a crucial questions: Who will control the power of the purse come November? 0:00 Harry figures out the most likely scenarios are for Washington control after the midterms 0:28 What’s the LEAST likely scenario? 2:45 What is an unlikely, but possible scenario? Let’s look at the math. 5:34 What is the second most likely scenario for the House and the Senate? 8:22 Harry delivers breaking news — a poll hot off the presses 9:51 What is the MOST likely expected outcome from the midterm elections, at over 50% likelihood? 13:31 How will Donald Trump’s…
Artificial intelligence isn't just speeding up early-stage drug development, it's starting to unlock millions of dollars' worth of new efficiencies in clinical trials on cancer treatments, research shared first with Axios shows. Why it matters: AI-powered tools could shave months off time-consuming processes like recruiting and enrolling patients, monitoring results and interpreting data. - That could free up resources for more clinical studies and possibly lower the high failure rate for new drugs. What they found: A new Tufts Center for the Study of Drug Development analysis found AI agents can accelerate clinical development of cancer drugs by approximately 10 weeks and reduce direct operating costs by as much as $5.6 million in…
When Mike Allen and I are curious about the "real economy ," we talk to sources at big-box stores for a read on real-time sales trends, or friends at super-regional banks to gauge the mood and money movement. - To us, that's the real world and real data, imperfect but less imperfect than dated Bureau of Labor Statistics surveys built for a different time and economy. Why it matters: Fed Chair Kevin Warsh will get scrutinized like hell for rate changes, his communication style, his vow of a "new chapter" at the Fed, and his relationship with President Trump. - We think the most interesting thing to watch long-term is the seemingly boring data task force he appointed last month to improve the "quality and timeliness of real economic…
Federal Reserve chairman Kevin Warsh is attempting a high-wire act: He's trying to fundamentally rethink the central bank's approach to guiding the economy, while also using its standard policy toolkit to bring down stubbornly persistent inflation. - A market blowup late last month showed the perils of trying both at the same time. The big picture: Markets sold off and the economic commentariat was sharply critical of a Warsh press conference on July 29, in which he was vague about the possibility of raising interest rates to combat inflation. - Some analysts saw it as evidence of a lack of commitment to quashing inflation. To Warsh allies, it was a brief bump in the road toward a more credible Fed. - Warsh is trying to rewire the…
BioCatch uses artificial intelligence to analyze data points, including keystroke and mouse activity, touch screen behavior, AI agent usage and jailbroken devices, to prevent fraud and financial crimes.
James Talarico’s Texas Senate bid is drawing comparisons to Beto O’Rourke’s 2018 run. Decision Desk HQ’s Geoffrey Skelley and The Hill's Bill Sammon break down how the numbers stack up, and what they may reveal about Democrats’ chances against Ken Paxton. Watch the full episode here: https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/data-nerds/5999112-michigan-democratic-senate-race-el-sayed-stevens-august-primaries-live-discussion/ #jamestalarico #talarico #beto #betoorourke #texas #tx #texassenate #txsenate #senate #democrats #dems #polling #decisiondeskhq #ddhq #datanerds #kenpaxton #paxton #midterms #2026election
“The Hill” presents one hour of live, real-time primary night coverage, diving deep into the 2026 primary in Arizona on Tuesday evening from 9:30 p.m. to 10:30 p.m. EDT. The event will be anchored by NewsNation’s Cory Smith, joined by The Hill campaign and congressional reporters, Decision Desk HQ, plus political analysts. The live, primary coverage delivers fast, accurate results and sharp analysis as races are called in real time by election data experts from Decision Desk HQ and The Hill’s Midterm team. Watch live above. #Arizona #ArizonaPrimary #Election
Knowledge workers now make up roughly one-fifth of OpenAI's Codex users and are growing more than three times as fast as developers, according to a new OpenAI report shared first with Axios. Why it matters: AI has made it easier to crank out documents, emails, decks and dashboards, and OpenAI is now betting agents can help workers make sense of them. The big picture: Previous waves of workplace software encouraged workers to produce huge volumes of files and messages, but those "workplace artifacts" largely remain siloed inside different software programs. - The report argues that Codex can round up the important context from all of those artifacts no matter where they are. By the numbers: Codex now has more than 4 million weekly active…
