Everyone wants to know who will win an election, but polls do more than predicting outcomes. The polling reporter Ruth Igielnik shares how polls are also judged on their ability to reveal electorate dynamics.
The author of the Democratic National Committee's 2024 election "autopsy" confirmed an Axios report that he concluded the war in Gaza hurt Kamala Harris politically — and that he'd privately shared that assessment with a pro-Palestinian group. - He said he drafted that finding late last year but never submitted it to party leadership. Why it matters: Democrats have spent months debating whether the Biden administration's support for Israel during its war on Hamas contributed to Harris' defeat. - Moderates disputed its electoral significance, while progressives argued that the toll of Israel's war on Gaza civilians drained support from young people, liberals and Arab Americans. Zoom in: Paul Rivera, who wrote the DNC autopsy, told…
Can you trust the political polls you see in the news? After nearly 31 years of covering politics on television, Greta says she wanted to better understand how election polls are built, why respected surveys sometimes miss by wide margins and what reporters should tell viewers before repeating a headline number. Veteran political pollster John McLaughlin joins Greta to pull back the curtain on the polling industry. He explains: • Why polling is still an inexact science • The critical difference between adults, registered voters and likely voters • How sample selection, demographic weighting and question wording can shape results • Why primaries and midterm elections are especially difficult to measure • How campaigns use internal…
Working class voters have moved away from the Democratic Party. Winning them back is key to the party's future, a new reports shows. But first, the messaging has to change.
As part of NPR's Swing Shift project checking in with swing voters, these Americans are split on who is to blame for high gas prices but they all agree it has an impact on their personal finances.
Swing voters in North Carolina say they are frustrated with President Trump and the state of the economy, but aren't ready to abandon him or his party as the midterms inch closer.