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AMERICANALMANAC (Charles McAdams) - National Hurricane Center watches two Atlantic disturbances as El Niño tightens its grip on the season

The National Hurricane Center is tracking two areas of potential tropical development in the Atlantic basin, but a strengthening El Niño and plumes of Saharan dust continue to stack the odds against a major storm. A strong tropical wave that recently rolled off the coast of Africa is pushing westward across the open ocean between […] The post National Hurricane Center watches two Atlantic disturbances as El Niño tightens its grip on the season appeared first on American Almanac .

The National Hurricane Center is tracking two areas of potential tropical development in the Atlantic basin, but a strengthening El Niño and plumes of Saharan dust continue to stack the odds against a major storm. A strong tropical wave that recently rolled off the coast of Africa is pushing westward across the open ocean between Cabo Verde and the Caribbean, carrying showers and thunderstorms with it. The NHC has assigned the system medium odds of developing into a tropical depression or storm over the next seven days, though hostile upper-level winds and thick dust pouring off North Africa's Saharan Desert stand in its path. Separately, a broad area of low pressure a few hundred miles east-southeast of Bermuda has earned the formal…Open

AMERICANALMANAC (Charles McAdams) - Tropical Storm Cristobal fizzles as Invest 92L gains steam in the Atlantic

Tropical Storm Cristobal formed in the open Atlantic on Wednesday morning and is already forecast to fall apart by evening, but a more consequential system, Invest 92L, is organizing behind it with a high chance of becoming a tropical depression within days. The National Hurricane Center gave Invest 92L high-range odds of developing into at […] The post Tropical Storm Cristobal fizzles as Invest 92L gains steam in the Atlantic appeared first on American Almanac .

Tropical Storm Cristobal formed in the open Atlantic on Wednesday morning and is already forecast to fall apart by evening, but a more consequential system, Invest 92L, is organizing behind it with a high chance of becoming a tropical depression within days. The National Hurricane Center gave Invest 92L high-range odds of developing into at least a tropical depression over the next two days, a designation that puts the system on a faster track than Cristobal ever managed. Cristobal, which strengthened from what had been Invest 93L, sits roughly 1,050 miles east-northeast of Bermuda and poses no threat to land. Hostile wind shear is tearing it apart. FOX Weather reported that the FOX Forecast Center expects Cristobal to dissipate…Open

AMERICANALMANAC (Sadie Smith) - National Hurricane Center flags new Atlantic watch zone as tropical wave heads off Africa

The National Hurricane Center has designated a new area to watch for tropical development deep in the Atlantic, though a strengthening El Niño may keep the 2026 hurricane season quieter than usual. A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa on Tuesday and drift across the open Atlantic, where forecasters […] The post National Hurricane Center flags new Atlantic watch zone as tropical wave heads off Africa appeared first on American Almanac .

The National Hurricane Center has designated a new area to watch for tropical development deep in the Atlantic, though a strengthening El Niño may keep the 2026 hurricane season quieter than usual. A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa on Tuesday and drift across the open Atlantic, where forecasters say some development is possible through the middle to end of next week. The NHC is currently giving the disturbance low odds of organizing into anything significant over the next seven days, citing Saharan dust, unfavorable upper-level winds, and water temperatures that may not cooperate. The designation, FOX Weather reported , adds another data point to a hurricane season that has so far produced two named…Open

AMERICANALMANAC (Sadie Smith) - El Niño, Saharan dust, and wind shear keep the Atlantic hurricane season remarkably quiet

The Atlantic basin has produced just two named storms heading into August, with a strengthening El Niño, persistent Saharan dust, and punishing wind shear combining to suppress tropical development even as waves continue rolling off the African coast. FOX Weather hurricane specialist Bryan Norcross put the situation bluntly: the National Hurricane Center "continues to show […] The post El Niño, Saharan dust, and wind shear keep the Atlantic hurricane season remarkably quiet appeared first on American Almanac .

The Atlantic basin has produced just two named storms heading into August, with a strengthening El Niño, persistent Saharan dust, and punishing wind shear combining to suppress tropical development even as waves continue rolling off the African coast. FOX Weather hurricane specialist Bryan Norcross put the situation bluntly: the National Hurricane Center "continues to show crickets across the Atlantic, the Caribbean and the Gulf into this weekend." That assessment covers millions of square miles of open ocean, and none of it, for now, is producing anything close to a hurricane threat. The quiet stretch is unusual but not unexplained. FOX Weather meteorologist Stephen Morgan broke down the three forces acting as a roadblock: El Niño's…Open